What Movie Will Win Big at the Box Office in 2025?
What Movie Will Win Big at the Box Office in 2025?
Each year, there is a lot of debate over what movie will take the number 1 spot at the box office and which will encourage fewer bums on seats than their budget allows for. With dozens of movies making their way into the theaters each year, it can be difficult to predict, especially since many movies thrive on their global audiences rather than revenue from the US itself.
If you are planning to make a bet on which movie will take the number 1 spot and see the highest audience numbers, this guide will take you through some of the biggest movies of the year and what they are expected to make.
Gold Derby predicts Mickey 17 has a 65.2% chance of being number 1 at the US box office:: Discover the current odds HERE.
How is the US Box Office Calculated?
The US box office chart is calculated by totting up the revenue from each movie. The total includes revenue from every movie theater nationwide, including independents. Some movies collect more revenue during their opening weekend, while others are sleeper hits and win on their cumulative box office takings.
Why are US Box Office Figures Important?
Box office figures from the US are important as they show how well a film has done and how popular it was, not taking into consideration home video releases and streaming. Not only can this allow studios to make a profit, but it can also help them to decide whether the franchise is worth continuing and the types of movies they want to make. Sometimes, actors are paid depending on the amount the movie makes at the box office, and, often, a film’s value at the box office will determine how long it remains in the public imagination. From this, future classics can often be spotted.
What Movies Have Been Number 1 Previously?
Some of the most famous, highest-grossing movies of all time include Avatar, Avengers: Endgame, and Titanic. Avatar for its cutting-edge 3D technology, Avengers: Endgame due to the popularity of the franchise, which built up over a decade. Movies like Gone With the Wind (1939) have also won big at the box office, taking $393.4 million, rounded up for inflation.
Movies are more likely to reach the top spot if they have excellent marketing campaigns, are part of a franchise or based on an older work, or have famous actors involved.
What Movies Could Reach Number 1 This Year?
The movies touted to be number 1 in 2025 include:
- Mickey 17
- Novocaine
- Mufasa
- Paddington in Peru
From the writer and director of Parasite (2019), which won the Oscar for Best Picture at the 92nd award ceremony and was the first ever foreign language movie to do so, Mickey 17 sees Bong Joon-ho delve into new territory. This sci-fi flick is an adaptation of the book by Edward Ashton. The movie was released in March 2025 and has so far grossed $19 million at the US box office and $34.3 million in other countries.
Novocaine is projected to be one of the top action-thriller movies of the year. Produced by Paramount, it is predicted to earn between $18-20 million at the box office during its opening weekend.
This is not to mention the movies Mufasa and Paddington in Peru. Although these are 2024 releases, they are still doing well, especially due to the fact that they are both family movies that belong to previous big-hit franchises.
If you think that Novocaine will take number 1 place at the box office, you could win a payout of $330 if you bet $100 at Gold Derby.
