Will 2025 Be the Hottest Year on Record?

As the Pacific Ocean is moving into the La Niña phase, you might assume the world will experience cooler temperatures throughout 2025.

However, it appears it has the potential to become one of the warmest years on record, meaning you would be wise to stock up on suncream this summer.

As 2024 was reportedly the warmest year on record to date, it wouldn’t be surprising if 2025 follows suit.

Read on to learn if 2025 will be the hottest year on record.

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The Met Office’s Global Forecast

According to the Met Office’s Global Forecast, it is likely 2025 will be one of the three warmest years recorded, closely behind 2024 and 2023.

2024 is the hottest year in history, as its average global temperature surpassed 1.5C (2.7F) above pre-industrial levels.

Also, 2023 was the second warmest year on record, as its global average temperature was 1.45C.

It is believed El Niño conditions contributed to the planet’s temperature, as the warmer ocean increased Earth’s heat.

According to Professor Adam Schaife, the 2025 Met Office Global forecast leader, 2025 will be much hotter despite entering the La Niña phase.

He recently said, “Interestingly, the warm 2025 predicted global temperatures occur despite the tropical Pacific moving towards a La Niña phase, which is driving slightly cooler conditions. Years such as 2025, which aren’t dominated by the warming influence of El Niño, should be cooler. 2016 was an El Niño year and, at the time, it was the warmest year on record for global temperature. In comparison to our forecast for 2025, though, 2016 is now looking decidedly cool.”

While El Niño is a major factor in the recent increase in global temperature, the upcoming rising temperatures are likely due to a rise in greenhouse gas emissions that are causing warmer weather conditions.

The Predicted Global Average Temperature for 2025

The Met Office calculated the average global temperature by comparing the 20-year temperature average to recent observations.

As a result, it has been predicted that the 2025 global temperature will be somewhere between 1.29C and 1.53C.

Unfortunately, the prediction suggests the planet may soon be unable to sustain the Paris Agreement’s goal of limiting the global average temperature to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.

A lack of governance, international cooperation, and increased resource consumption is heating the planet and driving climate change that might soon become irreversible.

How Warmer Temperatures Impact the Planet

Warmer global average temperatures can impact the planet in many ways, as they can cause rising sea levels due to melting glaciers and ice caps, ocean acidification, increased wildfires, and extreme weather conditions, such as heatwaves, flooding, droughts, and excessive rainfall.

2024 was proof of the dangers of increased temperatures, as the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reported record-breaking rainfall, intense heatwaves, destructive wildfires, and flooding.

In 2024, Celeste Saulo, the WMO Secretary General, commented, “This year we saw record-breaking rainfall and flooding events and terrible loss of life in so many countries, causing heartbreak to communities on every continent. Every fraction of a degree of warming matters and increases climate extremes, impacts, and risks.”

For the above reasons, the United Nations views 2025 as a pivotal year in climate change, which is why it has received the designation of the International Year of Glaciers’ Preservation.

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