Will Snow Fall on Christmas Day 2024 at Aberdeen Airport?

As Christmas 2024 approaches, all eyes are on the weather to see if Aberdeen will experience a white Christmas this year. The weather experts have been speculating on the chances of snow falling at Aberdeen Airport on December 25th, with the city emerging as the most likely place in the UK to see the white stuff. But with warmer weather in recent years, what are the actual chances of waking up to a snowy Christmas morning around Aberdeen airport?

Aberdeen Top of the Betting Odds

According to major bookmakers, Aberdeen Airport is currently the location with the shortest odds of anywhere in the UK for snow on Christmas Day, with Glasgow and Edinburgh not far behind. Bookies base their Aberdeen odds on up-to-date forecasts and reports specifically for the airport area.

This may seem odd given Aberdeen’s coastal location, which often escapes the worst of Scotland’s winter weather. However, forecasters predict that this year could be different, with freezing winds sweeping down from the Arctic and Scandinavia. This makes snow more likely, especially in northeast Scotland.

Reasons for Optimism

There are several reasons why Aberdeen is a favorite for a white Christmas this time. November 2024 was one of the warmest on record across the UK, but colder weather came in during early December. Temperatures are expected to drop further as we approach Christmas.

Aberdeen’s northerly latitude also makes it more prone to colder, snowier conditions. Its coastal location does bring milder weather off the North Sea, but winds directly from a northerly or easterly direction can bring wintry showers.

The city center’s low altitude reduces chances somewhat, but the higher ground around the airport makes it the most likely place in Aberdeen to see snow.

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Historical Precedent

While a white Christmas is never guaranteed in Aberdeen, the city has woken up to snow on December 25th many times in the past. In recent years there have been a number of official white Christmases, including widespread snowfall across the north-east in 2010.

More recently, Aberdeen Airport recorded snow flurries in 2017, as did surrounding areas. So, there is a historical precedent for snow, and when conditions align like this year, the odds in Aberdeen’s favor shorten.

What Needs to Happen?

For a white Christmas in Aberdeen this year, the cold northerly or easterly airstream needs to continue. Most importantly, an area of low pressure passing to the north of Scotland could bring snow showers south into Aberdeenshire on December 25th.

With temperatures forecast to drop close to or below freezing by Christmas week, any precipitation that does fall should do so as snow. A period of snowfall early on Christmas morning would make for a picturesque white Christmas scene.

Based on current long-range forecasts, bookmaker odds, and historical data, there is a higher chance than usual of waking up to snowy scenes in Aberdeen this Christmas Day. While nothing is guaranteed with Britain’s fickle weather, northerly Aberdeen has as good a chance as anywhere of posting a white Christmas in 2024. All eyes will be on the forecasts leading up to the big day.