Donald Trump to Win Time Magazine’s 2024 Person of the Year?

With a presidential election on the horizon, it’s no surprise that Donald Trump and Kamala Harris top the odds for Time’s 2024 Person of the Year. Trump, the controversial former president seeking to reclaim the White House, is a narrow favorite. Harris, the potential history-making Democratic nominee, follows closely behind.

Trump already has one Person of the Year nod under his belt from 2016, when he shocked the world by defeating Hillary Clinton. Now, he aims to pull off another upset and return to the presidency. His bombastic rallies and relentless media presence explain why he leads the 2024 odds.

Meanwhile, Harris could make headlines as the first female president in US history if she prevails over Trump. She was Time’s pick alongside Joe Biden in 2020 when they won the election. A Harris victory in 2024 would likely seal her spot on the cover again.

Who Else is in Contention for 2024?

While Trump and Harris dominate the odds, they have stiff competition. Artificial intelligence sits third as its rapid development continues to transform society. AI was last featured in 1982 when Time named “The Computer” as its machine of the year.

Other contenders include mysterious Bitcoin founder Satoshi Nakamoto, Russian opposition leader Yulia Navalnaya, and vaccine skeptic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. British royals Prince William and King Charles III also garner longshot odds after Queen Elizabeth II’s passing.

Will Donald Trump scoop the title? 1xbet currently reports odds of 1.833/1 and a percentage chance of 54.6%.

Can Any Underdogs Shock the World?

Biden and Elon Musk both earned previous solo Person of the Year nods, but face uphill battles to repeat in 2024.

Biden was unable to mount a strong re-election campaign and bowed out in favor of Harris. His presidency has been a mixed bag, with legislative wins but also low approval ratings.

Musk always warrants consideration given his dominance of headlines. However, 2024 has so far lacked a defining moment like his 2021 selection when he was dubbed “the man who aspires to save our planet and get us a new one to inhabit.”

Other longshots include YouTube star MrBeast, noted inventor Sam Altman, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and music icon Taylor Swift. But with no expectation-shattering accomplishments this year, they are enormous underdogs.

What are the Historical Trends?

Certain patterns emerge when examining past Time picks. Most notably, the winning presidential candidate has been named Person of the Year in 7 of the last 8 election years.

The lone exception was 2016, when Trump was selected as president-elect despite losing the popular vote. If Harris defeats Trump in 2024, she would be the prototypical pick.

Meanwhile, non-human subjects like AI are rare. “The Computer” and “The Endangered Earth” are the only two, underlining how difficult it is to unseat human newsmakers.

Lastly, repeat selections don’t happen often anymore. Richard Nixon was the last back-to-back winner in 1971-72. The increased competition for the honor as media proliferates explains the trend toward fresh faces every year.

Of course, much can change before Time makes its final decision. But for now, Harris looks to have the inside track to be 2024’s most influential figure. We’ll see if she can hold off her chief rival Trump and make her mark on the American presidency.